Russian troops marching in the 2015 Moscow Victory Day Parade / credit: Vitaly V. Kuzmin

Why It’s Unlikely Russia Will Deploy Troops Into Ukraine

Unless Kiev starts a massive military campaign in the Donbass, or engages in a serious provocation against Russia, the Kremlin is unlikely to start a war against Ukraine. And even if a war breaks out, Russia’s actions are expected to be very calculated, limited and carefully coordinated with its Western partners, as part of moves toward a “stable and more predictable relationship” between Moscow and Washington, writes Nikola Mikovic.