Although the South Caucasus region has traditionally been in the Kremlin’s geopolitical orbit, it is the European Union that seems to be playing the major role in peace talks, border delimitation and the reopening of transportation links. During the past six months, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev met three times through the mediation of European Council President Charles Michel, reports Nikola Mikovic.
While the Russian “special military operation” in Ukraine turns three weeks old today, Azerbaijan and Armenia are expected to preserve good relations with Moscow. The small countries hope the war in Ukraine will not spill over into the South Caucasus, an area the Kremlin sees at its “near abroad," writes Nikola Mikovic.
Following defeat in the 44-day war against Azerbaijan last autumn, Armenia remains stuck in the Russian geopolitical orbit, and has been forced to make painful concessions to its arch enemy, Azerbaijan.